Climate computer models running way too hot

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Here’s the next iconic graph in the climate non-debate.

It’s just another day in the continuing failure of climate models. In 68 simulations the climate experts repeatedly discover how a fantasy Earth warmed twice as fast as the real Earth has.

The failure of these models is obvious but it works as modern art.

The angry birds of confirmation bias lifted off in 1998 and haven’t landed on anything real for twenty years.

We paid researchers to find a crisis and we got what we paid for:

The latest model predictions versus what really happened.  |    Roy Spencer  UAH

Many thanks to the great legendary Roy Spencer for his exemplary work at Royspencer.com

The Black line is the ERSST — The Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature data (the floating ARGO buoys, Hadley, and other acronyms.)

The models appear to have been retuned lately so that some of the coolest model runs barely include reality. It probably avoids more awkward questions.

This article originally appeared at JoNova

• Joanne Nova

  A prize-winning science graduate in molecular biology. She has given keynotes about the medical revolution, gene technology and aging at conferences. She hosted a children’s TV series on Channel Nine, and has done over 200 radio interviews, many on the Australian ABC. She was formerly an associate lecturer in Science Communication at the ANU. She’s author of The Skeptics Handbook which has been translated into 15 languages. Each day 5,000 people read joannenova.com.au

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